Golf CLi Blog

..interpreting the Golf CLi for tournaments and helping people with their picks of golfers in tournaments...

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

2008 PGA Championship

For the 2008 PGA Championship, the free Golf CLi calculation is run with the following settings:

- Looking at the previous 5 PGA Championship (weights: 15% scoring average, 15% earnings average)

- Looking at the previous 60 days leading up to the 2008 PGA Championship (weights: 15% scoring average, 15% earnings average)

- Looking at the previous 8 tournaments players have played in leading up to the 2008 British Open (weights: 20% scoring average, 20% earnings average)

This is a different setting to what I used for the U.S. Open and the British Open. The difference is that I am only looking at the past 5 tournaments of the PGA Championship and not 7. As well, I am putting less weight on the results in the past instance of the PGA Championship and more weight on how the players are playing leading up to the event. The reason is because the PGA Championship does not have a trend of player's playing well in the event based upon past instances. Rather the players that are playing well leading up to the event are more apt to play well in this event.

View the Golf CLi rankings as they are updated daily leading up to the tournament.

2008 PGA Championship Open Golf CLi

Saturday, July 12, 2008

2008 British Open

For the 2008 British Open, the free Golf CLi calculation is run with the following settings:

- Looking at the previous 7 British Opens (weights: 20% scoring average, 20% earnings average)

- Looking at the previous 60 days leading up to the 2008 British Open (weights: 10% scoring average, 10% earnings average)

- Looking at the previous 8 tournaments players have played in leading up to the 2008 British Open (weights: 20% scoring average, 20% earnings average)

This is a similar setting to what I used for the U.S. Open. However, the one change is that I increased the number of tournaments leading up to the event from 6 to 8. I wanted to see if that additional history will help with better predicting results this time.

View the Golf CLi rankings as they are updated daily leading up to the tournament.

2008 British Open Golf CLi

Thursday, June 19, 2008

U.S. Open CLi Results

The U.S. Open was packed with a lot of entertainment for all golf lovers. So the tournament attracted a huge viewing base, which should help the TV channels and Internet sites that follow golf.

As for how the CLi did with predicting the results of the U.S. Open, take a look below:

Rank Player CLi Rank Earnings
Rd4 Rd3 Rd2 Rd1 Actual
1 S Phil Mickelson 7.40 18 47 35 12 $87,230
2 S Vijay Singh 13.70 65 70 65 12 $16,514
3 S Anthony Kim 14.90 26 24 65 49 $61,252
4 S Sergio Garcia 17.00 18 11 35 85 $87,230
5 S Justin Leonard 20.20 36 47 42 64 $35,709
6 S Stewart Cink 20.90 14 47 22 19 $122,159
7 S Geoff Ogilvy 21.50 9 4 9 3 $160,769
8 S Stephen Ames 23.50 58 70 49 49 $18,664
9 S Jim Furyk 27.60 36 19 22 49 $35,709
10 S Robert Allenby 28.70 18 6 9 7 $87,230
11 S Ryuji Imada 29.80 18 24 65 49 $87,230
12 S Tim Clark 30.10 48 24 22 31 $23,985
13 S Boo Weekley 31.20 26 24 65 31 $61,252
14 S Mike Weir 31.20 18 11 42 31 $87,230
15 S Tiger Woods 32.00 1 1 2 19 $1,350,000

Overall, the CLi did well for this major tournament. Here are a few of the things that I have highlighted:

  • average ranking: 27.3
  • lowest ranking: 1 (Woods)
  • highest ranking: 65 (Singh)
  • cli average 23.3; as compared to 8 if they were ranked 1-15 in the tournament.
  • that difference of 15 is very low, and very good
  • the average ranking was only 4 points higher than the average of the Cli for the top 15
  • that difference of 19 between the actual ranks is also very good and very low. This is especially true seeing that only 2 players were in the top 10 (1st -- Woods, and 9th -- Ogilvy) -- meaning not many were in the top 10. only 2 in the top 10, which is 20%. in and of itself, that is not very good as it would be better to have 40-50% in the top 10. that is the only negative for the cli results this week.
  • all made the cut
  • they combined to earn $2,32,163, with an average of $153,810 between the 15 players. that compares to the top 15 spots in the U.S. Open earning close to $5 million. $5 million is 66.7% of the total $7.5 million purse for the tournament. $2.32 million is 31% of the tournament's total purse.

Friday, June 6, 2008

2008 U.S. Open

For the 2008 U.S. Open, the free Golf CLi calculation is run with the following settings:

- Looking at the previous 7 U.S. Opens (weights: 20% scoring average, 20% earnings average)

- Looking at the previous 60 days leading up to the 2008 U.S. Open (weights: 10% scoring average, 10% earnings average)

- Looking at the previous 6 tournaments players have played in leading up to the 2008 U.S. Open (weights: 20% scoring average, 20% earnings average)

View the Golf CLi rankings as they are updated daily leading up to the tournament.

2008 U.S. Open Golf CLi

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Golf CLi widget using Widgetbox

I am trying out the services of Widgetbox to see if I can create a widget for the Golf CLi that allows users to show the Golf CLi results on their web site, desktop (html) and blog.

Today I have posted a simple widget for the Golf CLi here:

http://www.widgetbox.com/widget/golfcli

Below I have embedded the widget to show how it looks. It is basic, but works. Thanks Widgetbox.

The variables that can be configured with the widget are:

  • tour_id (a tour id, default is 1 which is the US PGA Tour)
  • tournament_id (a tournament id from the GolfInvestors system, default is blank to get the most current tournament)
  • num_players_show (a number, default is 5)
  • show_player_pic (Y/N, default is N)

Let me know what needs to be changed in the widget to make it more useful.

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

2007 Wyndham Championship (Updated)

There have been a number of changes made to the field since yesterday for the Wyndham Championship. So am rerunning the Golf CLi for the tournament today.

The updated Golf CLi for the Wyndham Championship has been calculated now. Below are the results for the top 15 players this week in the Golf CLi. This is the CLi as of Tuesday afternoon at 4:30pm MDT USA.

Rank Player CLi
1 Charles Warren 4.40
2 Joe Ogilvie 10.55
3 Jonathan Byrd 12.90
4 Michael Allen 17.15
5 Lucas Glover 17.35
6 Tim Herron 19.00
7 Ryan Palmer 19.35
8 Kevin Sutherland 20.60
9 Jason Dufner 20.90
10 Kent Jones 22.20
11 Charlie Wi 23.55
12 Briny Baird 23.95
13 Chris Couch 24.05
14 Carl Pettersson 27.25
15 Brian Davis 28.60
As with the Golf CLi calculations done yesterday for this tournament, the configuration used for the calculation of the Golf CLi for the Wyndham Championship is as follows:
# Scoring Avg Weights Earning Avg Weights
# of Past Tournaments Looking Back: 5 25% 25%
# of Days Looking Back: 30 5% 5%
# of Tournaments Looking Back: 4 20% 20%

This configuration is my usual default configuration.

Monday, August 13, 2007

2007 Wyndham Championship

It has been awhile since I posted a blog entry on Golf CLi. Am trying to get back into it now with the Wyndham Championship.

The Wyndham Championship Golf CLi has been calculated now. Below are the results for the top 15 players this week in the Golf CLi. This is the CLi as of Monday morning at 9am MDT USA.

Rank Player CLi
1 Charles Warren 4.80
2 K.J. Choi 5.05
3 Joe Ogilvie 11.65
4 Steve Flesch 13.35
5 Jonathan Byrd 13.40
6 Michael Allen 20.00
7 Lucas Glover 20.35
8 Tim Herron 21.05
9 Ryan Palmer 21.45
10 Kevin Sutherland 22.40
11 Jason Dufner 23.80
12 Charlie Wi 25.85
13 Kent Jones 25.95
14 Briny Baird 27.55
15 Chris Couch 28.00
The configuration used for the calculation of the Golf CLi for the Wyndham Championship is as follows:
# Scoring Avg Weights Earning Avg Weights
# of Past Tournaments Looking Back: 5 25% 25%
# of Days Looking Back: 30 5% 5%
# of Tournaments Looking Back: 4 20% 20%

This configuration is my usual default configuration.