2007 Johnnie Walker Classic

Below are the top 15 players in the CLi (Confidence Level Indicator) for the 2007 Johnnie Walker Classic that is taking place this week in Thailand. This is the CLi as of Wednesday morning at 9am MST USA.

Rank Player CLi 1 Ernie Els 1.40 2 Retief Goosen 7.50 3 Richard Sterne 8.50 4 Colin Montgomerie 9.30 5 Ross Fisher 9.40 6 Paul Casey 10.20 7 Ignacio Garrido 18.00 8 Shiv Kapur 18.40 9 Thongchai Jaidee 21.00 10 David Smail 21.40 11 Peter Hanson 22.40 12 David Lynn 24.10 13 Francesco Molinari 24.30 14 Simon Dyson 31.20 15 Adam Scott 32.20

The configuration used for the calculation of the Golf CLi for the Johnnie Walker Classic is as follows:

	#	Scoring Avg Weights	Earning Avg Weights
# of Past Tournaments Looking Back:	5	20%	20%
# of Days Looking Back:	30	10%	10%
# of Tournaments Looking Back:	4	20%	20%

Normally I would make the "Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back" be 25% for both "Scoring Average Weights" and "Earning Average Weights". However, since the Johnnie Walker is being played on a different course (one that has been played on in the past for this tournament) in a new country (in Thailand, where as last year it is was in Perth, Australia), past results in this tournament should be valued less. So the overall weight for the "Number of Past Tournaments Looking Back" is adjusted down from 50% (25% + 25%) to 40% (20% + 20%).

Normally I would have discounted the previous tournament results even further as it is in a different country then last year. However, the tournament has been played on this course in Thailand (Blue Canyon) before. So there is some history that players can use as a result of this.

With these settings, as one can see, Els, Goosen, Sterne, Montgomerie, and Fisher have the best chance of playing well. All of these players have a CLi below 10. With these players' CLi being below 10, the chance of them playing up to par as it relates to the CLi is rather good. The lower the CLi, the better the CLi calculation is for a tournament.